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UFC Betting

Upcoming Fight Picks

Win, round, and method picks for every scheduled UFC fight, computed ahead of time from the Staaty Pick model. The numbers below are this model's real, backtested track record, not a promise about any single fight.

Model Accuracy

Win Picks1,757 graded
61.5%
vs. 55.8% just picking the obvious favorite every time

Clearly better than just guessing the obvious pick.

Round Picks1,757 graded
54.0%
vs. 52.5% just picking the obvious favorite every time

Close to guessing the obvious pick every time -- treat this one with extra caution.

Method Picks1,753 graded
50.6%
vs. 48.5% just picking the obvious favorite every time

A bit better than guessing the obvious pick.

"Graded" fights are past fights the model was tested against without having seen the result first. Accuracy is checked on fights the model never trained on, so this is a real read on how it performs on a new fight, not a number it memorized.

Upcoming Fights

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. WalkerNov 7, 2026
Waldo Cortes Acosta10-4-0vsJohnny Walker9-7-0
Staaty Pick
Waldo Cortes Acosta
65% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
20%
Round 2
17%
Round 3
58%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
5%
Method Prediction — KO/TKO
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
8%
Decision
45%
Waldo Cortes Acosta's dashboardJohnny Walker's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Gabriel Bonfim7-1-0vsSean Brady9-2-0
Staaty Pick
Gabriel Bonfim
67% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
22%
Round 2
18%
Round 3
51%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
8%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
18%
Decision
51%
Gabriel Bonfim's dashboardSean Brady's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Tatiana Suarez9-1-0vsVirna Jandiroba9-4-0
Staaty Pick
Tatiana Suarez
72% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
24%
Round 2
18%
Round 3
55%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
3%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
41%
Decision
43%
Tatiana Suarez's dashboardVirna Jandiroba's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Mantas Kondratavicius1-0-0vsWes Schultz1-2-0
Staaty Pick
Mantas Kondratavicius
82% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
34%
Round 2
18%
Round 3
47%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
24%
Decision
45%
Mantas Kondratavicius's dashboardWes Schultz's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Billy Elekana3-1-0vsLucas Fernando1-0-0
Staaty Pick
Lucas Fernando
53% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
30%
Round 2
9%
Round 3
58%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
3%
Method Prediction — KO/TKO
KO/TKO
69%
Submission
18%
Decision
13%
Billy Elekana's dashboardLucas Fernando's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Mantas Kondratavicius1-0-0vsAndre Petroski8-5-0
Staaty Pick
Mantas Kondratavicius
81% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
27%
Round 2
14%
Round 3
53%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
5%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
14%
Decision
51%
Mantas Kondratavicius's dashboardAndre Petroski's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Austin Bashi1-2-0vsLucas Brennan0-1-0
Staaty Pick
Austin Bashi
78% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
22%
Round 2
14%
Round 3
61%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
2%
Method Prediction — Submission
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
65%
Decision
21%
Austin Bashi's dashboardLucas Brennan's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. WalkerNov 7, 2026
Gabriel Lorenco--vsThomas Petersen3-4-0
Staaty Pick
Gabriel Lorenco
60% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
34%
Round 2
15%
Round 3
49%
Round 4
1%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
23%
Decision
45%
Gabriel Lorenco's dashboardThomas Petersen's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Karine Silva5-3-0vsGabriella Fernandes3-3-0
Staaty Pick
Karine Silva
69% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
21%
Round 2
17%
Round 3
59%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
2%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
39%
Decision
39%
Karine Silva's dashboardGabriella Fernandes's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Priscila Cachoeira5-9-0vsNina Milosevic1-0-0
Staaty Pick
Nina Milosevic
68% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
20%
Round 2
16%
Round 3
63%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — KO/TKO
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
27%
Decision
17%
Priscila Cachoeira's dashboardNina Milosevic's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Keiichiro Nakamura1-0-0vsOllie Schmid0-1-0
Staaty Pick
Keiichiro Nakamura
55% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
26%
Round 2
22%
Round 3
50%
Round 4
1%
Round 5
2%
Method Prediction — KO/TKO
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
23%
Decision
17%
Keiichiro Nakamura's dashboardOllie Schmid's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Mitch Raposo2-2-0vsMarcos Degli--
Staaty Pick
Mitch Raposo
64% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
27%
Round 2
26%
Round 3
46%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — KO/TKO
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
33%
Decision
32%
Mitch Raposo's dashboardMarcos Degli's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Seokhyeon Ko2-1-0vsWellington Turman3-6-0
Staaty Pick
Seokhyeon Ko
67% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
25%
Round 2
19%
Round 3
54%
Round 4
1%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
30%
Decision
46%
Seokhyeon Ko's dashboardWellington Turman's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. WalkerNov 7, 2026
Austin Bashi1-2-0vsCarlos Calderon--
Staaty Pick
Austin Bashi
76% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
26%
Round 2
21%
Round 3
53%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
0%
Method Prediction — Submission
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
68%
Decision
13%
Austin Bashi's dashboardCarlos Calderon's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Jonny Parsons1-0-0vsJose Souza1-0-0
Staaty Pick
Jose Souza
65% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
44%
Round 2
8%
Round 3
48%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
9%
Decision
58%
Jonny Parsons's dashboardJose Souza's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Davey Grant9-7-0vsElijah Smith3-0-0
Staaty Pick
Elijah Smith
77% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
17%
Round 2
7%
Round 3
70%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
5%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
25%
Decision
43%
Davey Grant's dashboardElijah Smith's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Jose Delano1-0-0vsMurtazali Magomedov1-0-0
Staaty Pick
Murtazali Magomedov
61% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
26%
Round 2
10%
Round 3
63%
Round 4
0%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — Decision
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
25%
Decision
40%
Jose Delano's dashboardMurtazali Magomedov's dashboardFull head-to-head →
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradyNov 7, 2026
Gabriel Lorenco--vsAlvin Hines0-2-0
Staaty Pick
Gabriel Lorenco
64% confidence
Round Prediction — ends in Round 3
Round 1
27%
Round 2
7%
Round 3
64%
Round 4
1%
Round 5
1%
Method Prediction — KO/TKO
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
30%
Decision
28%
Gabriel Lorenco's dashboardAlvin Hines's dashboardFull head-to-head →

Recent Picks

Renato Moicano vs Tom NolanPicked Tom Nolan Actual: Tom Nolan
Win ✓ Round ✓ Method ✗
Randy Brown vs Jacobe SmithPicked Jacobe Smith Actual: Jacobe Smith
Win ✓ Round ✓ Method ✗
Ode Osbourne vs Cody DurdenPicked Ode Osbourne Actual: Cody Durden
Win ✗ Round ✓ Method ✓
Yana Santos vs Luana SantosPicked Luana Santos Actual: Luana Santos
Win ✓ Round ✓ Method ✓
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman HasanovPicked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Actual: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Win ✓ Round ✓ Method ✗
Francis Marshall vs Dakota HopePicked Francis Marshall Actual: Dakota Hope
Win ✗ Round ✓ Method ✓
Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor BerggrenPicked Rodrigo Sezinando Actual: Rodrigo Sezinando
Win ✓ Round ✗ Method ✗
Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong LeePicked JeongYeong Lee Actual: Julian Erosa
Win ✗ Round ✗ Method ✗
Zach Reese vs Mickey GallPicked Zach Reese Actual: Zach Reese
Win ✓ Round ✓ Method ✓
Nick Klein vs Joe KropschotPicked Nick Klein Actual: Joe Kropschot
Win ✗ Round ✗ Method ✗
Talita Alencar vs Piera RodriguezPicked Talita Alencar Actual: Piera Rodriguez
Win ✗ Round ✓ Method ✓
Lucia Szabova vs Tainara LisboaPicked Lucia Szabova Actual: Lucia Szabova
Win ✓ Round ✗ Method ✗

STAATY builds and runs its own prediction models and publishes the picks they produce. We are not a sportsbook, do not accept wagers, and are not responsible for any bets, losses, winnings, or other outcomes connected to using this information. Picks are for informational and entertainment purposes only, not financial or betting advice, and past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly and within your means. See our Terms of Use for the full policy.

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